As of November 2019, the internal displacement profile of South Sudan has shifted from being predominantly marked by national conflict. Whilst conflict including national parties are still causing new instances of displacement around Yei in Central Equatoria as well as constituting the main reason for populations remaining in protracted displacement since 2014, new displacement has been increasingly attributed to communal clashes throughout 2018 and 2019 as well as high levels of flooding in the second half of 2019.
DTM makes a difference between political conflict and communal clashes for analysis, however, it should be noted that the lines between livestock-related conflict, other forms of communal tensions and politically motivated violence are frequently blurred. Data collection for round seven took place in October and November 2019 – the height of the 2019 floods –following round six which took place in June 2019. Whilst return movements continue to be observed, these seemed to have peaked during the three months (October – December 2018) following the signing of the Revitalized Agreement on the Resolution of the Conflict in the Republic of South Sudan (R-ARCSS) and have since returned to pre-ARCSS 2018 levels throughout 2019 (in terms of monthly averages of returnee arrivals).